Slack in Brazil remains high two years after the 2015-16 recession. Can the economy bounce back under the new administration? EM growth is persistentl
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Welcome to Sticky Notes, the IIF's new weekly look at the big events we're watching in international economics and politics. If you would like to rece
Inflation fell to its lowest level since 1999 driven by lower food, dwellings, and transport contributions. Using a bottom-up approach, we found incre
Despite political woes, the reform drive regained force, improving macro prospects amid global tailwinds A sizable fiscal deficit remains the major ma
Weak business confidence has been a critical transmission channel' We quantify the impact of dwindling confidence
Following a strong 2017Q1, our monthly growth tracker suggests a deceleration in the short-term Political woes have eroded growth expectations, reflec
The approval of labor market reforms in Congress and the corruption conviction of former President Lula da Silva have given a lift to Brazilian asset
Markets reassess the Trump trade US-a surge in animal spirits China-no deleveraging in 2016 Brazil-monetary easing accelerates Turkey-tightening liqui