Entries for 'Political Risk'
June 8, 2022
This paper highlights why sanctions on Russia should not be considered static. Rather, they are a "moving target" requiring regular adjustments as their consequences play out and countermeasures are taken. Importantly, we have also yet to reach the top rung of the escalation ladder. Western allies could take additional steps in the coming weeks and months to keep up pressure on the Russian government.
February 28, 2022
This paper will systematically look at additional sanctions that have been or could be imposed on Russia in several key areas: global payments systems, access to the U.S. Dollar, sovereign debt, hydrocarbon exports, and export controls. Equally important, it will not only analyze the effects of these latest sanctions on the Russian economy but also the broader implications for international financial markets. For example, one of the biggest impacts on the global economy is likely to be on trade. While details on how the new sanctions affect energy are still emerging, we do know that sanctions on its central bank will make it more difficult for Russia to export energy and other commodities. As a result, we may see commodity prices surge.
December 19, 2018
In our last edition of Sticky Notes in 2018, we look at President Xi's reform anniversary speech, Venezuela's future, NAFTA termination, oil markets, and a potential U.S. government shutdown.
December 5, 2018
In this edition of Sticky Notes, we look at oil markets ahead of the OPEC+ meeting, consumer privacy laws, U.S.-China trade talks, and end-of-year book recommendations.
November 28, 2018
In this edition of Sticky Notes, we look at key issues facing the incoming U.S. Congress, new realities in Mexico, U.S.-China trade talks, and potential auto tariffs.
November 16, 2018
In this edition of Sticky Notes, we look at takeaways from the U.S. mid-term elections, the latest U.S.-China trade talks, Brazil in the wake of a newly elected government, and U.S. soybean exports.
October 25, 2018
If you would like to receive the Sticky Notes email, please send us an email' here ' with your information. This week is our "all politics" edition o
May 15, 2018
The impact could be muted if the main energy trading partners of Iran secure exemptions from the U.S. or can find a way
May 14, 2018
Already this month, the Trump Administration sent a high-level trade delegation to China, announced its withdrawal from the Iran deal, moved the U.S.
May 4, 2018
On April 19, the IIF hosted the second annual Washington Policy Summit, bringing together U.S. administration officials, leading policy analysts, and
May 2, 2018
On April 19, 2018, the IIF convened the second annual Washington Policy Summit . The event featured dozens of private and public sector speakers, incl
April 12, 2018
Geopolitics boosting oil prices, but this s
April 5, 2018
SOFR: a new reference rate is born U.S.-China tariff talk not y
March 22, 2018
Large global companies underperform small-cap stocks as trade tensions mount Will tighter financial conditions slow the pace of monetary policy normal
March 1, 2018
"¢ Risk appetite still dented; tighter financial conditions hurt "¢ Higher hedging costs renew questions about foreign appetite for Treasuries "¢ EM p
February 15, 2018
Non-resident capital flows to EMs are projected to rise modestly in 2018, approaching $1.3 trillion' However, FDI inflows will likely remain subdued-e
January 23, 2018
In the latest episode of Huuge! Everything you need to know about big changes in Washington, Kristen Silverberg hosts Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagn
January 18, 2018
At this time last year we warned that political uncertainty had risen to remarkably high levels. Now the questions may have changed, but risks remain.
November 16, 2017
"¢ Flat yield curve? No problem "¢ Fund investors slash exposure to Mexico "¢ U.S. tax reform-the waiting is the hardest part "¢ Venezuela-the check i
November 9, 2017
"¢ Stock prices track upward revisions to earnings "¢ Anticipating tax cuts-flows return to U.S. equities "¢ Warning signals from high-yield markets "