Publications

Top Six Risks for the Global Economy

We have reshuffled and shortened our list of top risks this month, putting China in the top spot as the risks of a bumpy ride that we had flagged for

Capital Markets Monitor: Debt Restructuring: Drawing the Right Lessons

While Greece's tortuous efforts to seek a third bailout package that will enable them to keep the euro have commanded attention, the debt operations o

July 2015 Forecast in Detail

Compared to our April GEM, we have lowered our global growth forecast for both 2015 and 2016 by 0.2pp, led by both mature economies and EMs. For the m

July 2015 Global Economic Monitor: Dodging Bullets - The Outlook at Midyear

Financial markets in mid-year are riding an emotional rollercoaster, hit by a Chinese stock market slump and the quickly moving Greek drama. By contra

IIF Dispatch: Update from Nigeria

During our recent visit to Lagos and Abuja, we found the country in a state of limbo.' Although President Buhari was inaugurated last May, the country

IIF Dispatch: Update on Iran

After two years of extended negotiations, Iran and the six world powers (the U.S., China, Russia, France, Germany, and the U.K.) have reached a deal o

'Draghi's Dashboard': Beyond Greece, Things Holding Up

While concerns about Greece will dominate the ECB Governing Council's meeting on July 16-and could weigh on business and consumer confidence going for

Algeria: Macroeconomic Stability Under Threat

The political status quo has been maintained. The recent ethnic unrest (the fighting between rival gangs of Berbers and Arabs) is likely to be contain

IIF Dispatch: Update from Tokyo

After meetings in Tokyo last week, our overall impression is a clear sense of confidence that Japan is gradually moving out of deflation. ' However, m

Peru: The De-Dollarization Push

The central bank is attempting to speed up the de-dollarization pace this year by requiring banks to reduce t

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