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Publication Results for
Economic Views: Ghana’s Debt Restructuring
January 17, 2023
Ghana is trying to restructure its local and external debt, … aiming for total debt of 55% of GDP in present value terms. We show present val...
Economic Views: Sri Lanka’s Debt Servicing Capacity
September 13, 2022
Sri Lanka secured a $2.9bn IMF program pending debt restructuring talks. We assess capacity to pay interest on restructured debt in coming years. ...
Economic Views: Bond Outflows from China Continue
August 30, 2022
Several EMs are seeing outflows from local-currency government bonds. China is one of them, in the context of record portfolio outflows in Q1. Our t...
Economic Views: Kenya’s Fiscal Adjustment
August 16, 2022
Kenya is one of the frontier markets cut from the bond market. The IMF program promises a lot of frontloaded fiscal adjustment, … by the stan...
Economic Views: El Salvador’s External Bond Redemption
August 09, 2022
El Salvador’s funding gap through the January bond payment, … could be 4% of GDP in the mild scenario we presented last week. Already ...
Economic Views: Frontier Market External Funding Needs
July 26, 2022
Many frontier markets have lost bond market access, … but have to meet sizable external financing needs soon. We estimate such funding needs ...
Economic Views: Sri Lanka’s Financing Gaps
March 29, 2022
Sri Lanka has gone into distress as we predicted last year. Devaluation will compress demand and imports drastically, … but will be insuffi...
Economic Views: Sri Lanka’s Financing Outlook
August 03, 2021
Sri Lanka repaid another external bond out of reserves in late July. The current account deficit is widening and financing is scarce, … but...
Economic Views: Sri Lanka’s Funding Needs in 2021
December 08, 2020
A Eurobond matures in July and buffers are very limited. Current account deficits will also add to financing needs. Repaying the bond out of reser...
Economic Views: Debt Sustainability in Sri Lanka
October 20, 2020
Sri Lanka’s debt ratio will continue increasing, … unless new fiscal measures offset recent tax reform. External borrowing needs are ...
Economic Views: Sri Lanka’s External Funding Gaps
August 25, 2020
Sri Lanka’s current account deficit will widen this year, … and external bond amortization will be hard to manage. We see substantial...
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