The IIF offers an independent source of global economic and financial research. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the global outlook with a focus on key emerging economies, timely analysis of capital flows to emerging markets and developments in international financial markets.

We focus on risks and policy challenges, drawing on first-hand insights from our interactions with policymakers and member firms and our close involvement with the global regulatory debate.

Members can tap the IIF’s team of highly experienced, international economists and financial analysts for custom briefings on a range of macro, regional, and country issues. 

LATEST IIF RESEARCH

Publication
July 2, 2015

*Uneasy markets ahead of the Greek referendum
*Greek referendum: “YES” ahead by a nose
*China—continuing monetary easing
*U.S. labor market tightening—steady as she goes
*India—monsoon melodies
*Malaysia gets a ratings boost

Publication
July 2, 2015

The recent drop in Chinese equities is a healthy correction after a sharp sentiment fueled rally. Continued near-term volatility seems likely, but at lower valuations the market should find support from recent policy measures. Longer-term prospects remain promising as the market is opened and its infrastructure improves.

Publication
July 2, 2015

The ramping up of infrastructure investment is enhancing medium-term growth prospects, but causing near-term macroeconomic strains. Large twin external and fiscal deficits, inflationary pressures and a weaker currency have made Kenya vulnerable to changes in sentiment toward African frontier markets.

Publication
July 2, 2015

The Greek debt crisis has intensified recently after talks with official creditors broke down. The future is now highly uncertain, and a Greek exit from the Eurozone is a material possibility. This note evaluates the impact of the Greek crisis on neighboring countries in Emerging Europe.

Publication
June 29, 2015

The government is deploying its full policy arsenal to support faltering growth. After a weak first quarter, the economy is showing signs of a revival. Presidential elections scheduled for April 2016 do not augur major policy changes as all the main candidates are pro-market.

Publication
June 25, 2015

*Risk rally stalls as markets focus on Fed, Greece
*QE made in Frankfurt gets good reviews
*Global Growth - A mixed bag
*Greece - down to the wire...yet again!
*Japan - Growth Strategy 3.0
*TPP - Finding a way forward
*Enhancing the role of Europe’s capital markets
*FinTech in Frankfurt

Publication
June 25, 2015
In India, the combination of a determined new government, an innovative program resulting in the opening of 163 million new bank accounts, and breakthroughs in technology promises to bring about a revolution in the availability of financial services.
Publication
June 25, 2015

Portfolio flows to emerging markets weakened further in June, reaching a year-to-date low of $4.2 billion according to our Tracker estimates. EM debt flows continued a streak of five months of subdued inflows, while equity markets experienced 2015’s weakest month of inflows. Reduced risk appetite related to concerns about Fed exit and “Grexit” seem to have weighed on EM flows this month.

Publication
June 24, 2015

The European Commission’s proposed Capital Markets Union (CMU) is an ambitious and broadly welcome initiative. Strong capital markets—as a complement to bank lending—would promote financial stability and foster job creation and economic growth throughout Europe.

Publication
June 24, 2015

Despite ongoing security concerns, economic activity has been reasonably robust, supported by rising government expenditures. However, lower oil prices are expected to lead to fiscal consolidation and dampen growth. Risks include increased unrest and an extended period of low energy prices.

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