We have revised our 2021 growth outlook for ASEAN+ from 4.5% to 3.6%. This is mostly due to lockdowns weighing on manufacturing and services. However, ASEAN+ countries have more policy space to respond to shocks. Non-resident capital flows are projected to rebound this year to $228 bn. FDI and portfolio debt are key drivers but 21H2 will likely see a slowdown. Nonetheless, we expect flows above pre-pandemic levels in 2021 and 2022.