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Publications
Entries for 2015
Weekly Insight: Double Trouble
July 23, 2015
Greece-negotiating the third program U.S. property market-signs of strength Not all is well on the Mexican front Bad today, worse tomorrow: pessimi
IIF Dispatch: Update from Ghana
July 22, 2015
During our recent visit to Accra, we sensed a country on the road to recovery ' after a turbulent couple of years. Although there are tough challenges
Philippines: Resilient Despite Risks
July 22, 2015
Economic growth was held back in the first quarter by a slower expansion of government spending and a slowdown in exports, while private consumption a
IIF Dispatch: Update from Malaysia
July 20, 2015
Prime Minister Najib Razak is under pressure as investigators scrutinize the finances of 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB), ' the state-sponsored st
IIF Dispatch: Update from Kiev
July 16, 2015
From our discussions with market participants we understand' that the prevailing view in Kiev is tha
China Spotlight: Has the Property Market Bottomed Out?
July 16, 2015
After the progressive easing in monetary policy and relaxation of administrative measures, the real estate market seemed to be gradually turning aroun
Algérie: La Stabilité macroéconomique menacée
July 16, 2015
Le statu quo politique a été maintenu. Les récents troubles ethniques (affrontements entre gangs rivaux Berbères et Arabes) seront vraisemblableme
Turkey: Growth Concerns
July 16, 2015
Real GDP growth appears to have suffered after an unexpectedly strong first quarter. On balance, we have ma
Weekly Insight: The Caravan Moves On
July 16, 2015
Greece was saved? Debt restructuring-drawing the right lessons Dodging bullets-the global economic outlook at midyear ECB-beyond Greece, things hol
Top Six Risks for the Global Economy
July 15, 2015
We have reshuffled and shortened our list of top risks this month, putting China in the top spot as the risks of a bumpy ride that we had flagged for
Capital Markets Monitor: Debt Restructuring: Drawing the Right Lessons
July 15, 2015
While Greece's tortuous efforts to seek a third bailout package that will enable them to keep the euro have commanded attention, the debt operations o
July 2015 Forecast in Detail
July 15, 2015
Compared to our April GEM, we have lowered our global growth forecast for both 2015 and 2016 by 0.2pp, led by both mature economies and EMs. For the m
July 2015 Global Economic Monitor: Dodging Bullets - The Outlook at Midyear
July 15, 2015
Financial markets in mid-year are riding an emotional rollercoaster, hit by a Chinese stock market slump and the quickly moving Greek drama. By contra
'Draghi's Dashboard': Beyond Greece, Things Holding Up
July 14, 2015
While concerns about Greece will dominate the ECB Governing Council's meeting on July 16-and could weigh on business and consumer confidence going for
IIF Dispatch: Update from Nigeria
July 14, 2015
During our recent visit to Lagos and Abuja, we found the country in a state of limbo.' Although President Buhari was inaugurated last May, the country
IIF Dispatch: Update on Iran
July 14, 2015
After two years of extended negotiations, Iran and the six world powers (the U.S., China, Russia, France, Germany, and the U.K.) have reached a deal o
IIF Dispatch: Update from Tokyo
July 13, 2015
After meetings in Tokyo last week, our overall impression is a clear sense of confidence that Japan is gradually moving out of deflation. ' However, m
Algeria: Macroeconomic Stability Under Threat
July 13, 2015
The political status quo has been maintained. The recent ethnic unrest (the fighting between rival gangs of Berbers and Arabs) is likely to be contain
Peru: The De-Dollarization Push
July 13, 2015
The central bank is attempting to speed up the de-dollarization pace this year by requiring banks to reduce t
MENA Quarterly Monitor
July 10, 2015
Oil Prices: We expect prices to remain under pressure from persistent external forces and resilient production numbers from both OPEC and non-OPEC sou
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