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July 2017 EM Growth Tracker

EM Growth Tracker continues to slide with a reading of 5.1% 3m/3m sa ar in July The reading for July is below the 12mma, for the first time since Febr

Global Macro Views: Policy Dilemmas at Jackson Hole

Ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, we discuss the tensions facing the Fed. Markets are expecting a slightly hawkish outcome given how dovish market

Economic Views: Venezuela

Limited access to global debt markets and waning oil income has eroded international reserves While debt servicing has been a government priority, dra

Weekly Insight: Showdown in Wyoming

"¢ Dueling policymakers "¢ Currency valuation in focus "¢ Intra-EM correlations on the rise-trouble brewing? "¢ Venezuela-new sanctions could squeeze

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Bonds In, U.S. Equities Out

Global mutual funds and ETFs have seen inflows of over USD60 billion since mid-July.'  The balance has tilted towards fixed-income-inflows to global b

Global Macro Views: An update on the RMB

We update our model for the USD/CNY fix, concluding that USD/CNY could still fix lower for some time, given that the RMB in trade-weighted terms is st

Global Macro Views: Winners and Losers in Global Services Trade

We dig deeper into services exports, and consider what the growing importance of services trade will mean for the global economy. Using a new dataset

Weekly Insight: The Worry Factor

Editor's note: With this edition of the Weekly Insight , we are moving to a shorter format offering a concise summary of mark

Economic Views: Iran

Our preliminary estimate' of real hydrocarbon growth in fiscal year 2016/17 is about 20%, much more modest than 62% as reported by Iranian authorities

Global Macro Views: World Trade and the China Effect

The striking slowdown in world trade growth over the past five years has been the subject of much research. In the first of a two-part series on trade




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