Publications

Weekly Insight: Putting the puzzle together

October 5, 2017

What's more overvalued: stocks or bonds? Seeking more upside for bond yields, USD U.S. tax reform -not much in price Emerging markets -factoring in p

Global Macro Views: Taper Tantrum 2.0

October 4, 2017

EM currencies have sold off since the FOMC meeting on Sep. 20. We evaluate the risk of another "taper tantrum" and discuss how different currencies mi

Jordan: Challenging Outlook

October 4, 2017

Key recent economic indicators point to continued sluggish growth and deterioration in external position. Further fiscal consolidation needs to includ

Joint Associations Comment on Proposed Simplified Market Risk Approach

October 3, 2017

On June 29, the Basel Committee released the Consultative Document: Simplified alternative to the standardised approach to market risk capital require

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Yield Hunt

October 3, 2017

We estimate that non-resident portfolio inflows to emerging markets were $14.5 billion in September. EM Asia ($8.6 bn) and Latin America ($3.3 bn) att

Economic Views: Russia - Imports and Russia's Trade Embargo

October 3, 2017

The current account surplus will likely remain below $40 billion this year, despite oil prices rising 20% from 2016. The import substitution policy, p

CCPs - Supervisory stress testing

October 3, 2017

On June 28th CPMI-IOSCO published the consultative report Framework for supervisory stress testing of central counterparties (CCPs). The intention of

October 2017 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

October 3, 2017

Non-resident capital flows to EMs are projected to rise to $1.1 trillion in 2017 and $1.2 trillion in 2018. China resident outflows have slowed sharpl

Korea: Economy Supported by Policy Revamp

October 3, 2017

President Moon's ambitious agenda is focused on achieving sustainable growth of 3% a year by addressing structural challenges, including lifting wages

Economic Views: Weaker Currencies Boost Export Volumes in Emerging Europe

October 2, 2017

Changes in export volumes in Emerging Europe are much more responsive to external demand conditions than to exchange rate movements in the short-run.'

IIF Authors