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Publications

Global Macro Views: An Index to Measure the National Divide

Red states are falling behind blue states in the jobs boom. But the divide between red and blue states goes deeper than just job creation. We develop

Economic Views: Mexico - Source of Stability

NAFTA gave a big push to trade and financial integration, favorably affecting Mexico Uncertainty over a possible reversal could weigh on growth, leadi

Economic Views: Russia - Phillips Curve Shows Inflation Pickup in 2018

Phillips curve estimation suggests that supply-side effects explained the core inflation decline. A stronger ruble contributed to lower inflation and

Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey - 2017Q3

The composite index for the 2017Q3 Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey increased by 1.5 pts to 50.8. This is the highest index level recor

Economic Views: Argentina - Seizing the Opportunity

The government has taken advantage of increased political capital to push for needed structural changes Relying on a gradual policy approach, producti

Global Macro Views: Why are Red State Labor Markets Lagging?

We have shown that red states are falling behind blue states in the jobs recovery. We examine three possible drivers: (i) demographics; (ii) opioids;

November IIF Insurance Update

The November Insurance Update provides targeted updates on: IAIS Announces "Unified path to convergence" for ICS' IAIS Annual Conference 2017' Financ

Weekly Insight: What Potholes?

"¢ Flat yield curve? No problem "¢ Fund investors slash exposure to Mexico "¢ U.S. tax reform-the waiting is the hardest part "¢ Venezuela-the check i

Global Macro Views: The US Participation Rate from a G10 Perspective

We compare the US labor force participation rate to other G10 economies. The decline in the US participation rate is a clear outlier, especially wh

Economic Views: Indonesia - Prudent Fiscal Policy

The government is persevering with prudent fiscal management as evident from the targeted fall in the budget deficit from 2.9% of GDP in 2017 to 2.2%
 

 

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