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Entries for 'U.S.'

January 12, 2017

Markets reassess the Trump trade US-a surge in animal spirits China-no deleveraging in 2016 Brazil-monetary easing accelerates Turkey-tightening liqui

December 15, 2016

1.'  Markets brace for higher bond yields, stronger USD: As investors digest the implications of the Fed's rather hawkish hike (see below), they see l

September 22, 2016
1. Global stocks, bonds surge post-Fed; EMs in favor :'  While the outcome of the BoJ and Fed meetings this week (see below) was much as anticipated,

July 25, 2016
This study examines the role of U.S. monetary policy in determining the incidence of emerging market crises. We analyze the determinants of currency c

April 28, 2016
1. What next for the rally? ' After the solid run-up since mid-February, the tone in global equity markets has been more sober over the past week. The

April 7, 2016
1. FX in focus: '  As investors watch the Fed --which in turn appears to be watching the markets (see below)--U.S. rat

March 17, 2016

Renewed enthusiasm for risk assets' Fed leans cautious EM corporates shift toward more local currency borrowing China-weak activity points towards mor

February 19, 2015
The extraordinary rise of U.S. shale oil producers has led the U.S. to record crude oil production, rising nearly 4 mbd since 2008 and altering the gl

January 14, 2015
This note provides estimation details that complement analysis presented in our January 2015 EM Capital Flows Report (pages 11-13). We estimate a simp

November 6, 2014

The global economy seemed to be losing traction until recently, but the latest data paint a brighter picture: business sentiment picked up in October,

September 11, 2014

The macro data flow over the summer months ranged from largely positive news in the U.S. and China to negative surprises in the Euro Area and a number

June 19, 2014
Slightly tighter market fundamentals and an overlay of increased geopolitical risks have led us to raise our forecast for the average Brent benchmark

April 2, 2014
The global economy continues to be affected by bumps in the road that together are contributing to softer growth in the first half of the year. We hav

June 10, 2013
U.S. households hold close to half of their financial assets in equities compared to around one-fifth in the Euro Area and less than one-tenth in Japa

February 11, 2013
The oil market will continue to be well-supplied in 2013 as production capacity, especially outside of OPEC, will grow faster than demand, which will
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