Publications

Economic Views: China - The Current Account Drop

China posted its first current account deficit in a long time in Q1. Is the deficit due to rebalancing or other factors? The bulk of the decline refle

Weekly Insight: Glaring Divergence

Market positioning highlights optimism on U.S., Japanese equities, risks for Treasuries, EMs U.S. yield curve flattening leaves bank stocks unruffled"

June 2018 Capital Markets Monitor: Demise of the EM Demographic Dividend?

Population aging will have a significant impact on potential growth over the next several decades-in emerging as well as mature economies-suggesting t

EM Government Debt-Pitfalls Ahead

As U.S. rates continue to rise, we draw on our Global Debt Monitor to look across EMs for risks related to leverage. While the rise in EM corporate de

Jordan: Update - Fiscal Adjustment Relief

Recent large-scale protests over austerity measures have led to a new aid pledge from the Gulf. The recent tax bill, which focused on regressive measu

Global Macro Views: Resilient Euro Zone Bank Deposits

We document the resilience of Euro zone bank deposits during past stress episodes. There is only one major Euro zone economy - Greece - where deposit

Capital Flows Report Update: FDI to EMs-at Risk from Tax Competition?

The impact of U.S. tax reform on FDI flows to EMs will likely be limited and short-lived U.S. reinvestment of retained earnings could fall by around $

Global Findex 2017 - IIF Brief

The World Bank recently released their Global Findex 2017, which updates their comprehensive data set on how adults save, borrow, make payments, and m

Global Macro Views: Assessing the Argentina Bail-Out

We recently estimated an annual financing need around $15 bn for Argentina, on benign assumptions for the current account, debt rollover and capita

June 2018 Global Regulatory Update

The June 2018 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in: "¢ regulatory capital "¢ recovery and resolution "¢ disclosur

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