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Entries for 'EM Europe'

September 27, 2016
The immediate impact of Moody's decision to downgrade Turkey to non-investment grade has been relatively benign in financial markets, suggesting that

September 27, 2016
POLICIES TIGHTEN AFTER ELECTION Last week's trip to Moscow followed the parliamentary elections and coincided with the government's discussion of nex

September 26, 2016
Our recent trip to Warsaw left us with an impression that the implementation progress of the structural reform agenda has been less than satisfactory

September 14, 2016
THE FAR-RIGHT FREEDOM PARTY SETS THE AGENDA Our September visit to Vienna coincided with announcements of a delay in the Presidential election re-run

September 13, 2016
Helped by firmer oil prices, the ruble has stabilized at RUB/$65 level since April.

September 8, 2016
Political tensions reflect a deepening sense of disconnect between voters and officials and perceived intangible threats to national identity.

September 6, 2016
When the ECB Governing Council meets on Thursday, September 8, it will see a challenging landscape. The impact of Brexit on the region's financial mar

August 11, 2016
Corporate investment will be held back. Government can do little to undo damage from uncertainty. Winners and los

July 22, 2016
Today's flash PMI for the UK and the euro area confirms our view that the economic impact from Brexit is asymmetrical, with the UK bearing the brunt o

July 18, 2016
Growth should resume in the rest of 2016, but it will most likely be centered on consumption, helped by increasing social spe

July 18, 2016
The failed military coup in Turkey has rattled markets and raised political uncertainty. Immediate losses from lower tourist arrivals and deferred inv

June 30, 2016
Safe havens and bargain-hunting Brexit damage assessment' Mexico-exposed but resilient Frontier Africa-adjusting to new realities Qatar-weathering low

June 29, 2016
Europe is most affected by spillovers, the United States less so. More d

June 28, 2016
Brexit is likely to dampen exports f

June 27, 2016
The authorities seem determined to offset a slowdown in private investment by relaxing macroeconomic policies and stimulating domestic consumption. T

June 27, 2016
The conservative PP won a larger plurality in yesterday's rerun of the December general election but, once again, failed to win a majority. PP won 33%

June 24, 2016
The unexpected Brexit win by a solid margin (51.9% to 48.1%) has cascaded across international financial markets. The GBP has taken an unprecedented o

June 21, 2016
On Friday, June 17, the IIF hosted a presentation at our Washington D.C. office of the IMF's Financial System Assessment Program (FSAP) report on the

June 20, 2016
The IMF is likely to finally disburse the third tranche of its program in July or August, almost a year later t

June 13, 2016
A PERFECT STORM FOR MARKETS? Global equities slumped again today, with major government bond yields dropping to new record lows; further yen strength
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