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Publications

China Spotlight: Moderately Higher CPI in 2018

We expect China's CPI to be slightly higher, yet still contained in 2018, "¦ "¦ thanks to limited pass-through from PPI and slower growth of the money

Bahrain: Vulnerabilities Have Increased

Growth will moderate due to fiscal consolidation. The fiscal deficit, while narrowing, remains large and the debt-to-GDP ratio is increasing rapidly.

Economic Views: Korea - BOK Raises Policy Rate

Bank of Korea (BOK) increased its benchmark policy rate by 25bp to 1.5%, the first hike since 2011. Stronger growth, curbing of household debt, and up

Weekly Insight: All Together Now

Economic surprise indices advance in sync Will G4 governments further extend duration on borrowing? OPEC extension of production cuts may not buoy pri

Saudi Arabia: Capital Flight or Portfolio Diversification?

We examine the trends and outlook in the Saudi Arabia's balance of payments. The deterioration in 2015-2016 was in the current account as falling oil

Economic Views: Russia - Non-residents Eye the OFZ Market

Increasing share of non-residents makes the sovereign bond market more sensitive to investors' sentiment. A lower yield curve and abundant domestic li

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: And the Beat Goes On

EM Asia ($14.0 bn) saw the vast majority of portfolio inflows, while idiosyncratic events weighed

Improving global AML efforts with technology and regulatory reform

Despite enormous effort and investments from the financial and public sectors to detect and counter money laundering, illicit flows in the financial s

Global Macro Views: An Index to Measure the National Divide

Red states are falling behind blue states in the jobs boom. But the divide between red and blue states goes deeper than just job creation. We develop

Economic Views: Mexico - Source of Stability

NAFTA gave a big push to trade and financial integration, favorably affecting Mexico Uncertainty over a possible reversal could weigh on growth, leadi

 

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