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Global Macro Views: Less FEER in EM

Early this year we warned of large FX overvaluations in Argentina and Turkey. With both currencies having fallen a lot, we update our EM FX valuation

Weekly Insight: Dire Straits

Cross-country activity growth signals diverge further as trade tensions mount Rising correlations across regions and asset classes highlight contagion

Bahrain Update: Help is on its Way

Investors' concerns over rising public debt and large twin deficits pushed Bahraini dinar to a 17-year low. While support from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, a

Indonesia: Update - Bracing for further tightening

We see similarities in economic conditions leading to unscheduled BI meetings in Aug 2013 and May 2018. Sustained portfolio outflows and depreciation

Sticky Notes: June 26, 2018

Welcome back to Sticky Notes, the IIF's new weekly look at the big events we're watching in international economics and politics. If you would like to

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Trade Tensions Send Fund Flows to the U.S.

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Trade Tensions Send Fund Flows to the U.S.Monday, June 25, 2018With trade tensions on the rise, sharp upturn in allocatio...

Oil Market: Will Brent oil prices decline to below $70/bbl?

OPEC and Russia have agreed to lift oil output starting July 2018.' The agreement is ambiguous with no concrete output targets and country level alloc

IIF Letter on the Regulatory Treatment of Sovereign Risk Exposures

On March 9, the IIF provided a confidential response letter to the BCBS Discussion Paper on the regulatory treatment of sovereign risk exposures. In o

IIF Comments on Economic Downturn, and EBA GL on Downturn LGD

On June 22, the IIF submitted a response letter to the EBA's Second Draft RTS on Economic Downturn, as well as the EBA's Guidelines for the estimation

Saudi Arabia: Benefiting from High Oil Prices

High oil prices will provide a boost to economic activity through additional public spending. The external position will strengthen and the fiscal def


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