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Saudi Arabia: Recovering, but not fast enough

We expect non-oil growth to accelerate to 3.0% as private sector confidence improves and the monetary stance eases. However, overall growth will likely drop to 0.5%, dragged down by a significant cut in crude oil production. 

November U.S. Regulatory Update 

The November U.S. Regulatory Update covers the Federal Reserve’s final foreign banking organization tailoring rules, the revised Volcker Rule approval, CFTC and OCC news, along with Congressional updates and hearings summaries, and more. 

GMV: Inflation-consistent NAIRUs for Italy and Spain

Consensus NAIRU estimates put Italy and Spain close to full employment, ... even though the pace of underlying inflation has been subdued for many y...

Weekly Insight: Climate super year ahead?

ESG, demographics, technological progress: three key pillars in greening the global economy—and financial system; Record flows into ESG-dedicated ETFs in October, bringing year-to-date flows to over $40 billion—65% higher vs 2018 ytd; ESG bond performance on par with investment-grade credit—little distinction in pricing as yet; Will 2020 be a climate “super year?” Achieving net zero global emissions by 2050 requires emissions to peak next year 

Frontier LatAm – Favorable Current Account Dynamics 

Current account deficits in Frontier LatAm are wide by EM standards, largely due to energy trade imbalances, but lower oil prices since 2014 have helped ease financing gaps. Despite global headwinds and regional tensions, we project CA deficits to stay contained in 2019-20, broadly financed by FDI. 

GMV: Weak EM Currencies Are Failing to Lift Exports

Many EM currencies have fallen sharply in recent years, including the Turkish Lira, Colombian Peso and Russian Ruble. 

10th Annual IIF/EY Global Risk Management Survey 

The 10th Annual IIF/EY Global Bank Risk Management Survey, “An endurance course: Surviving and thriving through 10 major risks over the next decade”, carried out by the Institute of International Finance (IIF) and EY, observes and reports on changes in how banks manage risk. 

The Case for Simplifying Sustainable Investment Terminology

In a 2019 survey, the IIF Sustainable Finance Working Group (SFWG) polled member firms on their views: a significant majority agreed that industry alignment around simplifying terminology and product names into a few broad categories could greatly advance the goal of scaling up sustainable finance.

Macro Notes - South Africa: MTBPS and Eskom Plan Disappoint

Markets were disappointed by the 2019 MTBPS announcement. Revisions to growth, deficit, and debt were worse than expected. This follows an Eskom plan lacking details on debt restructuring. Moody’s changed the outlook to negative but kept the IG rating. Key market concern is no longer the rating, but debt sustainability.

FRT Episode 51: Fintech Beat with Chris Brummer

FRT joins forces with CQ Roll Call’s Fintech Beat podcast. Fintech Beat Host, Professor Chris Brummer of Georgetown University, and FRT's own, Brad Carr from the IIF, share their key takeaways across IIF's Annual Membership Meeting, the IMF & World Bank annual meetings, and DC's FinTech Week.

 

 

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