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Economic Views: How Vulnerable is EM Asia?

The EM sell-off was quite intense in recent months, with major currencies in Asia depreciating significantly. We assess if this is a signal of systemic risk in the region, comparing external risk metrics in the 1997 crisis vs. now. Vulnerability is an order of magnitude lower today. Financing needs are much lower and reserves higher.

Global Financial Innovation Network (GFIN)

The IIF welcomes of the initiative of the FCA, MAS, HKMA & 9 other agencies in proposing a Global Financial Innovation Network (GFIN). We believe this

Indonesia Update: Slower Growth to Manage External Imbalances

Policy responses to mitigate imbalances will result in slower ec

Global Economic Monitor: Desynchronized Global Growth

Desynchronization of global growth has grown more acute, "¦ driven by emerging market headwinds and trade tensions. We mark down EM growth substantial

FRT Episode 9: Crypto Asset Regulation

FRT welcomes our second special guest, John Collins of FS Vector. John joins us to share his thoughts and expectations on the regulatory landscape and

GEM Statistical Appendix


Weekly Insight: Peak Performance Passing

Volte-face in USD and bond yields has global ripple effects Late-cycle signals for the U.S. economy Spoiler alert: downgrade to our 2019 forecasts in

October 2018 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Despite a sharp drop in portfolio flows, 2018 should see broadly stable non-resident capital flows to emerging markets of over $1.1 trillion, with FDI

MENA Economic Outlook: Higher Oil Prices May Raise Complacency

Oil prices are likely to remain high through end-2019, on concerns of supply disruptions in Venezuela and the impact of U.S. sanctions on Iran. We hav

Global Macro Views: The Fed is not an EM-Negative Catalyst

We turned more constructive on emerging markets some weeks ago, given that the EM sell-off eliminated some of the biggest FX overvaluations. But a




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