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Global Debt Monitor Insights: Growing Risks for Low-income Countries

Debt vulnerabilities in low-income countries once again are becoming a source of concern, with total external debt and government indebtedness reaching their highest levels since 2005  

April 2019 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Surprisingly,  EM currencies have been quite a mixed bag, and our high frequency tracking of flows shows a mixed rebound in Q1. We believe the underlying issue is that investors are over-positioned, with a positioning overhang after a decade of loose G-3 monetary policy. We upgrade our capital flows projection to EM only modestly, with non-resident flows of $1,260 bn in 2019, after $1,135 bn in 2018.

Weekly Insight: Let a thousand debates bloom

Markets reassess chances for a Fed rate cut this year amid more optimism on trade talks, Chinese growth; Policy backdrop feeds into asset valuation in emerging markets; China may be taking a break from deleveraging, but non-financial corporate debt is still over 150% of GDP and at over 50% of GDP, household debt in China is well above the EM average—and growing strongly

Country Report: Algeria - Era of Change Has Begun

In the face of popular pressure, President Bouteflika stepped down after 20 years in power, yet much uncertainty remains about the transition to a new government. Algeria’s growth model of hydrocarbon-financed public spending is not feasible with low oil prices, and wide-ranging reforms are needed.

Commercial Bank & Central Bank Digital Currencies: Prudential Treatments

Commercial Bank Coins and Central Bank Digital Currencies: Potential Prudential Treatments.

Global Macro Views: Credit-Dependent Growth in Turkey

Another credit expansion has been underway during Q1 of this year, and again coincided with rising volatility in the $/TRY exchange rate. Volatile markets necessitate a shift away from credit-driven growth, to a new growth model with an emphasis on structural reforms.

Global Debt Monitor - April 2019

“Only” $3.3 trillion was added to the global debt mountain last year, bringing the total at over $243 trillion.

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Softer Flows to EM

Portfolio inflows to Emerging Markets were $25 billion in March. Equity and debt inflows reached $8 billion and $18 billion, respectively. Net capital flows rose into positive territory in February.

FRT Episode 29: Partnering with Start-ups

Barclays UK Ventures CEO Ben Davey joins FRT to discuss banks’ partnerships with FinTech start-ups, sharing his experiences in working to overco...

Weekly Insight: Sense and Sustainability

Sustainable growth high on the policy agenda; Market fragmentation poses risks for scaling up green finance markets; Demographic and social challenges for growth in China point to a decline in savings rates and home sales




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