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Publications

Kazakhstan: New Driver, Same Road

Growth in 2019 will come from ongoing structural reforms to support non-oil activity, as the country has signaled that it will comply with the OPEC+ cuts. Medium-term prospects remain favorable. While the country has a new president, he is expected to remain committed to Nazarbayev's reform agenda. 

FRT Episode 31: Developments in Digital Assets

In this episode of FRT, we catch-up with Mark Wetjen, Managing Director, Head of Global Public Policy at The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporati...

Weekly Insight: Elephant in the room

Elephant in the room: the U.S. accounts for fully a third of all global government debt; Fewer countries likely to see above-trend growth in 2020; Our new “green flows” tracker shows a sharp pickup for Q1; H1 2019 IIF Survey of Long-term Investors: fewer concerns about trade tensions, China slowdown

 

Global Macro Views: A Destabilizing Dovish Shift from the Fed

The Fed has undertaken a remarkable dovish shift so far this year, which some believe has further to run given this year’s review of policy. From a global perspective, this dovish Fed shift is potentially destabilizing. If the Fed succeeds in running the economy hot, longer-term yields will rise, a downside risk to our already more cautious EM capital flow projections.

Asset and Investment Management Survey – H1 2019

The H1 2019 IIF Long-Term Investor Survey was conducted among the IIF institutional investor membership in March 2019.

Economic Views: South Africa's External Vulnerability

South Africa’s current account deficit remains wide, and foreign investor positioning is the heaviest in EM. Reserves to deal with these vulnerabilities are limited. High private external assets provide some buffers, as repatriation offsets non-resident outflows partially. External vulnerability is high despite additional buffers.

Sustainable Finance in Focus: Greening Infrastructure in Emerging Markets

Environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations front and center for EM infrastructure

All About the Green: Episode 1

The IIF “All About the Green” brand new Podcast kicked off with its first episode. This monthly podcast series shines a spotlight in the e...

FRT Episode 30: New Data Ecosystem Roundtable

The IIF Digital Currency Roundtable kicked off in Paris with the New Data Ecosystem. This interactive roundtable discussion explored key regulatory an...

Global Macro Views: Turkey’s External Vulnerability and Credit-Led Growth

Last year’s sudden stop in the BoP gave rise to a severe credit crunch, cutting the current account deficit and reducing external vulnerability. But the credit expansion in Q1 of this year undid a lot of that progress. We see much of recent Lira weakness through this credit-focused lens. The way forward lies in shifting Turkey away from credit-led growth.

 

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