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Publications
Global Macro Views: EM FX Overvaluations
January 18, 2024
We have over the years flagged big EM overvaluations. Our basic approach uses current account-based models, … but in some cases this kind of infrast...
Egypt: Debt Sustainability Assessment
January 17, 2024
The ongoing conflict in Gaza will widen the current account deficit. Gross financing needs will remain very high and available financing will be insufficient unless an IMF program resumes which would usher in additional official financing.
CEEMEA Views – Poland: Mending Ties with the EU
January 17, 2024
The new EU-friendly coalition government in Poland marks a significant shift in power. Investors maintain cautious optimism about some legislative changes, which would allow Poland to ramp up its withdrawals from the EU funds, improving the outlook.
China Spotlight: Banks face housing woes, local debt, and deflation
January 16, 2024
Chinese banks are facing mounting challenges amid the below-potential growth. The risks posed by the housing and local government sectors are not systemic. However, the deflation and falling lending rates are hurting banks badly.
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 62: Geopolitical Risk in 2024: The Buckets are Full
January 16, 2024
In this episode of Current Account, Clay reviews the outlook of 2024 through the lens of geopolitical risk. He breaks down the analysis into three sec...
IIF Capital Flows Tracker: January 2024
January 11, 2024
Portfolio flows to EM stood at $29.0 bn in December. Equity and debt flows were $11.1 bn and $18.0 bn. Chinese equities posted $3.4 bn in outflows. ...
FRT Episode 141: Inside the Competition for Big Money in 2024
January 11, 2024
Digital Money and Future Scenarios for High-Value Flows Developments in tokenization and distributed ledger technology (DLT) are opening up new front...
Weekly Insight: Vital Role of Export Credit on the Road to Net Zero
January 11, 2024
While rising geopolitical tensions create challenges for transition finance, risks are still in line with historical norms. However, continued stagnation in global trade and capital flows suggests de-globalization could stall a net zero future. Strategic trade wars—likely inevitable on the road to Net Zero—will bring the key role of export credit agencies to the fore.
Digital Finance Developments: Translating Principles into Crypto Regulation
January 9, 2024
This week’s Developments highlights the outlook for crypto regulation in 2024, taking into account rising investor anticipation for regulatory action in the U.S. and new guidance from international standard setters, emphasizing the need for continual engagement between policymakers and industry.
Digital Finance Download - December 2023
January 8, 2024
Edition of the Digital Finance Download covering December 2023. A monthly update of significant developments in digital finance around the globe.
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 61: Shaving the Fuzz? A Recap of COP28
January 8, 2024
In the first Current Account episode of 2024, Clay is joined by IIF's Sonja Gibbs, Managing Director, Global Policy Initiatives and Head of Sustainabl...
IIF submission to CPMI on fast payment systems interlinking governance and oversight
January 5, 2024
The IIF has responded to the Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI)’s interim report and consultation on linking fast payment systems across borders: considerations for governance and oversight.
January IIF Digital Asset Forum Briefing Note
January 4, 2024
The January IIF Digital Asset Forum featured perspectives on the outlook for digital assets in 2024, including on the investment landscape and the feasibility of active pilot projects. Participants viewed the space with optimism and noted outstanding questions will not be easy to answer.
2024 Investor Trip Schedule
January 3, 2024
Schedule for the IIF's 2024 investor trips released.
Digital Finance Developments - Ecosystem Evolution in 2023
December 26, 2023
This week's Developments examines the evolution of digital finance ecosystems in 2023.
Global Macro Views: What is Not Priced – European Double Dip Recession
December 21, 2023
We last week flagged that markets misprice European inflation, … and that consensus is far too positive on Euro zone growth in 2024. We got lots of ...
IIF Responds to MAS Consultation on Transition Planning Guidelines
December 19, 2023
On Monday, December 18, the IIF submitted a response to the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) Consultation on Transition Planning Guidelines for Financial Institutions.
FRT Episode 140: Project Tourbillon: Privacy, Security and Scalability for Retail CBDCs
December 19, 2023
In this episode of FRT, Morten Bech, Head of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Innovation Hub’s Swiss Centre, discusses Project Tourbillon,...
Quantum Computing and Financial Services: Key Takeaways
December 18, 2023
On December 6th, the IIF convened experts in quantum computing across industry, academia, and the public sector to discuss quantum computing’s impact for financial services. This staff paper provides a summary of key points from the session.
IIF December 2023 U.S. Regulatory Update
December 18, 2023
The December 2023 U.S. Regulatory Update covers federal agency announcements, Congressional news, and senior regulatory appointments that have taken place within the last few months.
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